Cambridge United face Stevenage Borough at the Abbey Stadium on Saturday

U's to edge out Boro

Saturday February 9, 2008

Cambridge United v Stevenage Borough (17.15, Live on Setanta 1)

Prices correct at time of writing (12pm, Wednesday February 6, 2008).

Home 11/8 Draw 11/5 Away 13/8

This is a really great match for Setanta and one where I think we can get the money with Cambridge because home advantage has been so important for them this season. United will be right up for this as they only trail Saturday's visitors by five points. I was expecting nearer evens for Cambridge and I'm absolutely delighted to see them at 11/8.

I think both these teams will miss out on automatic promotion but both will be involved in the play-offs so this match could be a warm-up for a play-off semi-final or even the play-off final itself, with both clubs looking for a place in the Football League - Stevenage for the first time. When you look at the form analysis for the last six months, it's really been disappointing to see what Cambridge have done away from home. At home in their 15 games so far this season, they've won nine, drawn five and only lost one and I think that record will continue. Stevenage will have been very disappointed by their result last Saturday, a 4-0 defeat at Exeter, but they have been climbing up the table and I think that they will end up in the play-offs and I'm pretty sure will miss out on winning the title. This one for me looks like a Cambridge win, but another option could be to go with the U's Draw No Bet (8/11). But I'm going to go for a winner and I'm going to go for the home team Cambridge.

Verdict: Home win

Best Bet: Cambridge United Draw No Bet 8/11